UU-UNO Climate Change Task Force

 

RealClimate Rebuts the Contrarians

article: RealClimate Rebuts the Contrarians

RealClimate.org is an extremely useful and accurate website run by professional climatologists. It has excellent, though sometimes technical, responses to many of the fallacious contrarian arguments. There are also inline responses to contrarian comments.

N.B: For an explanation of the model results in the graphic - which provide a very powerful argument against the contrarians - see below.

RealClimate responses to common contrarian arguments:

Ref

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2004/12/index/

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NOTE:

The graphic shows backtesting of climate models against historical temperature data for 100 years, by continent, from the 2007 IPCC science report. The black lines are data, blue represents natural effects only (including solar), and red represents all effects - anthropogenic and natural. The bands indicate model uncertainties.

Natural effects alone (blueDO NOT reproduce the historical global temperature data (black).

All effects (red) including both anthropogenic (human) and natural effects DO reproduce the historical global temperature data (black).

Passing this important test shows that the climate models ARE realistic, but only provided that human-generated effects are included.

The results show that human (anthropogenic) effects have DOMINATED natural effects over the last 30 years, during which time global warming has become manifest.

These successful model results provide an extremely powerful argument against the contrarians, and for mainstream climate science. 

Ref (shows larger graphic): http://www.ipcc.ch/graphics/syr/spm4.jpg